Al Fayha 1-2 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -17%
1.19/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.19
-31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.1 Crosses 19.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
327 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
31.05.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
04.02.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
20.02.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
20.09.2019 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
16.05.2019 Al Fayha Al Fayha 5-2 HT 5-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
1-2
AWAY Al Wehda
0.94 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
341 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda squeezed past Al Fayha 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Wehda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 51% of the ball to Al Wehda's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.94 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Fayha and 0.67 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Wehda?

Al Fayha 1-2 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 40%, draw 26%, Al Wehda 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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