Derby County 2-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Apr 2025

Derby County
2-0 HT 0-0
Preston North End
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Derby County vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.34
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.21
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
16%
6.91
X/X
19%
3.42
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
13%
6.17
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.16
-3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.1 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Derby County vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Preston North End
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 267
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
02.04.2022 Derby County Derby County 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
16.10.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
20.04.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 3-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
26.12.2020 Derby County Derby County 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
15.09.2020 Derby County Derby County 1-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNLK

Derby County 2-0 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County
2-0
AWAY Preston North End
0.74 xG 0.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
153 Passes 371
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derby County vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County saw off Preston North End 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Derby County made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Derby County had 36% of the ball to Preston North End's 64%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.74 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Derby County and 1.17 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Derby County vs Preston North End?

Derby County 2-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Derby County 34%, draw 28%, Preston North End 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Preston North End) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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