Preston North End 1-1 Derby County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Nov 2024

Preston North End
1-1 HT 1-1
Derby County
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Preston North End vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
22%
4.75
X/2
12%
5.94
X/X
13%
3.76
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.82
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Derby County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -37%
1.17/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.45
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.0 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Preston North End vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Derby County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.04.2022 Derby County Derby County 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
16.10.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
20.04.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 3-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
26.12.2020 Derby County Derby County 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
15.09.2020 Derby County Derby County 1-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNLK
01.07.2020 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL

Preston North End 1-1 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-1
AWAY Derby County
0.32 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
319 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Derby County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Derby County shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Preston North End at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Preston North End had 55% of the ball to Derby County's 45%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.32 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preston North End and 0.50 for Derby County.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Derby County?

Preston North End 1-1 Derby County in the England - Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Derby County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 43%, draw 25%, Derby County 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Preston North End), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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