Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Nov 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
1-1 HT 1-1
Cardiff City
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
11%
7.37
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.71
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.73/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.29
-6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.3 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
274 Passes 265
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0 HT 3-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City FAK
23.12.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
26.08.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
05.04.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 HT 3-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
12.09.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
29.12.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-2 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1-1
AWAY Cardiff City
2.77 xG 1.30
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
463 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday and Cardiff City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield Wednesday at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 61% of the ball to Cardiff City's 39%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.77 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.00 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City?

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 42%, draw 27%, Cardiff City 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
23 Nov 2024
15:30 Bristol City vs Burnley Analysis →
15:30 Coventry vs Sheffield United Analysis →
18:00 Oxford United vs Middlesbrough Analysis →
18:00 West Bromwich vs Norwich City Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Derby County Analysis →
18:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City Analysis →