Sheffield Wednesday 4-0 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.31
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.64
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.20/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.39
-72% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +56%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.0 Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
268 Passes 253
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
26.08.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
05.04.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 HT 3-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
12.09.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
29.12.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-2 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
18.10.2019 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
4-0
AWAY Cardiff City
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday ran out comfortable winners over Cardiff City 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sheffield Wednesday as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 45% of the ball to Cardiff City's 55%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.17 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City?

Sheffield Wednesday 4-0 Cardiff City in the England - FA Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 42%, draw 25%, Cardiff City 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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