Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Newcastle — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle cruised past Sunderland 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Sunderland had 36% of the ball to Newcastle's 64%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.18 to 1.92.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Newcastle?
Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle in the England - FA Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 28%, draw 23%, Newcastle 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.