Millwall vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Millwall
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-0
Leicester City
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Leicester City
FAK
1-3
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNCL
3-0
HT 1-0
Millwall
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
Millwall 2-3 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Leicester City squeezed past Millwall 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Millwall had 49% of the ball to Leicester City's 51%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.54 to 2.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millwall and 1.83 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Leicester City?
Millwall 2-3 Leicester City in the England - FA Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall 33%, draw 27%, Leicester City 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.