Maidstone United 1-0 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 6 Jan 2024

Maidstone United
1-0 HT 1-0
Stevenage
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Maidstone United vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.34
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
7%
16.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
10.2
X/2
17%
3.72
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.07
2/X
8%
15.9
Value flag · X/1 at 10.2 — our 12% vs market 6.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidstone United v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 61%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.85/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.99
+34% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
– Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Maidstone United vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stevenage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
20.11.2014 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage FAK
09.11.2014 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK

Maidstone United 1-0 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
1-0
AWAY Stevenage
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United nicked a narrow win over Stevenage 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Maidstone United had 50% of the ball to Stevenage's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidstone United and 0.50 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Stevenage?

Maidstone United 1-0 Stevenage in the England - FA Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 29%, draw 25%, Stevenage 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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