Coventry 6-2 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.68
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.1
X/1
13%
3.64
X/2
6%
14.35
X/X
10%
6.91
2/1
9%
20.9
2/2
14%
10.75
2/X
9%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 18%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.67/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.00
+24% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +109%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 68%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oxford United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
220 Passes 350
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 45
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 3-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
23.03.2019 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
09.09.2018 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İN1
14.08.2018 Oxford United Oxford United 2-0 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNLK
02.04.2017 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNTK
19.11.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 4-1 HT 3-0 Coventry Coventry İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
6-2
AWAY Oxford United
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry swept aside Oxford United 6-2. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coventry had 61% of the ball to Oxford United's 39%, shots finished 24-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coventry and 2.00 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Oxford United?

Coventry 6-2 Oxford United in the England - FA Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Coventry 51%, draw 23%, Oxford United 26%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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