Oxford United vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford United v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Oxford United vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
HAZ
3-2
HT 2-0
Oxford United
FAK
Oxford United 2-6 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough ran out comfortable winners over Oxford United 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Oxford United had 36% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 64%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.58 to 3.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oxford United and 1.50 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Middlesbrough?
Oxford United 2-6 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 25%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 49%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.