Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Nov 2024

Queens Park Rangers
1-1 HT 0-1
Stoke City
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.03
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.89
X/2
13%
5.35
X/X
12%
4.62
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 5.89 — our 19% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.23/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.26
-5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.5 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
326 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.02.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
28.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 4-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.04.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
17.09.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
23.04.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
05.12.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-1
AWAY Stoke City
2.16 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
294 Passes 335
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers and Stoke City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 46% of the ball to Stoke City's 54%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.16 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City?

Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 39%, draw 26%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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