Stoke City 1-0 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Feb 2024

Stoke City
1-0 HT 1-0
Queens Park Rangers
📅14/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 39% vs market 33.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.1
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
13%
6.28
X/X
18%
3.92
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
5.09
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.5pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -22%
1.25/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.34
-27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.5 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
312 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 4-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.04.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
17.09.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
23.04.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
05.12.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
01.05.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 0-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Stoke City 1-0 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-0
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.73 xG 0.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
267 Passes 416
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City edged past Queens Park Rangers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stoke City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City had 41% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 59%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.73 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stoke City and 1.17 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Stoke City 1-0 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 38%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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