Millwall 0-4 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Feb 2024

Millwall
0-4 HT 0-3
Ipswich Town
📅14/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Millwall vs Ipswich Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.38
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
8%
6.94
X/2
18%
4.3
X/X
15%
4.42
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.76
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Ipswich Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.03/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.83
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.8
18.5 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Millwall vs Ipswich Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.35 xG 0.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 299
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.01.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-3 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
27.10.2018 Millwall Millwall 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.04.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
15.08.2017 Millwall Millwall 3-4 HT 2-3 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
17.01.2015 Millwall Millwall 1-3 HT 1-2 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL

Millwall 0-4 Ipswich Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
0-4
AWAY Ipswich Town
0.91 xG 1.68
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
206 Passes 537
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town ran out comfortable winners over Millwall 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millwall had 34% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 66%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.91 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Millwall and 2.33 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Ipswich Town?

Millwall 0-4 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall 30%, draw 29%, Ipswich Town 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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