Bristol City 0-1 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Nov 2024

Bristol City
0-1 HT 0-1
Burnley
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Bristol City vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
15%
5.6
X/2
9%
5.32
X/X
13%
3.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.89
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol City v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.05
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.7 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bristol City vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Burnley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.93 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 387
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.04.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
17.09.2022 Burnley Burnley 2-1 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
28.01.2017 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City FAK
28.12.2015 Burnley Burnley 4-0 HT 2-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
29.08.2015 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNCL
06.04.2013 Burnley Burnley 3-1 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Bristol City 0-1 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
0-1
AWAY Burnley
0.74 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
387 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley nicked a narrow win over Bristol City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Burnley found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bristol City had 52% of the ball to Burnley's 48%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bristol City and 2.50 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Burnley?

Bristol City 0-1 Burnley in the England - Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 37%, draw 29%, Burnley 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bristol City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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