Sion 1-2 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Apr 2025

Sion
1-2 HT 1-0
Winterthur
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Sion vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.03
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.1
X/1
15%
4.17
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
8%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.0
2/2
10%
8.49
2/X
8%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sion v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
2.16/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.69
-18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
32.4 Crosses 12.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sion vs Winterthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Winterthur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 0.95
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 Sion Sion İSV
10.08.2024 Sion Sion 2-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
06.05.2023 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
18.02.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
18.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
02.10.2022 Sion Sion 1-3 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV

Sion 1-2 Winterthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
1-2
AWAY Winterthur
1.54 xG 1.64
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
200 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sion vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur nicked a narrow win over Sion 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sion at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sion had 36% of the ball to Winterthur's 64%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.54 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sion and 1.17 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Sion vs Winterthur?

Sion 1-2 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sion 50%, draw 25%, Winterthur 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
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