Columbus Crew II 3-0 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 2 Apr 2025

Columbus Crew II
3-0 HT 1-0
Lexington
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2026

Columbus Crew II vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
25%
+15.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-15.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Columbus Crew II v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew II vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew II ran out comfortable winners over Lexington 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew II found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew II vs Lexington?

Columbus Crew II 3-0 Lexington in the USA - Open Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew II vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew II 40%, draw 23%, Lexington 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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