Monterey Bay vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay 1-2 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics
El Farolito came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Monterey Bay 2-1 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
File this under upsets: a 74% lean on Monterey Bay went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Monterey Bay's favour, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.94 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterey Bay.
Monterey Bay vs El Farolito Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 1 - 2 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs El Farolito Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 74%, draw 16%, El Farolito 10%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterey Bay) went the other way.