Diala 1-0 Karbala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbala EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Diala vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala squeezed past Karbala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diala as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Diala vs Karbala?

Diala 1-0 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Karbala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Diala 49%, draw 24%, Karbala 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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