Newroz 1-0 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 2 Apr 2025

Newroz
1-0 HT 0-0
Al Minaa Basra
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+14.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Al Minaa Basra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
04.02.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 1-5 HT 0-2 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz squeezed past Al Minaa Basra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Newroz made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra?

Newroz 1-0 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newroz 40%, draw 25%, Al Minaa Basra 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ BTTS Yes
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