Al Minaa Basra 1-5 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +80%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz cruised past Al Minaa Basra 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newroz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?

Al Minaa Basra 1-5 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 30%, draw 29%, Newroz 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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