Al Najaf 0-1 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 23%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh edged past Al Najaf 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najaf at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?

Al Najaf 0-1 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 51%, draw 22%, Al Karkh 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najaf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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