Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boyaca Chico v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 2-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Boyaca Chico 1-4 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima ran out comfortable winners over Boyaca Chico 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (73%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boyaca Chico had 62% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 38%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.30 to 2.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.17 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Boyaca Chico 1-4 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 39%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.