Boyaca Chico 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Mar 2024

Boyaca Chico
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boyaca Chico v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.06/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.17
+24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
15.8 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4

Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 1.03
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
213 Passes 394
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
24.04.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
08.03.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
08.11.2020 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
09.09.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
18.03.2018 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL

Boyaca Chico 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
1-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.09 xG 0.95
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
362 Passes 167
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico and Deportes Tolima couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Boyaca Chico at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 65% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 35%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.17 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima?

Boyaca Chico 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 41%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boyaca Chico), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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