Envigado 2-2 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.24/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
15.7 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 292
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
09.04.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
30.08.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
26.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
23.10.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
03.02.2021 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
2-2
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
0.93 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
319 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Jaguares De Cordoba shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Envigado at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Envigado had 54% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.93 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Envigado had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Envigado and 0.83 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Envigado 2-2 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Envigado 46%, draw 28%, Jaguares De Cordoba 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Envigado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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