Deportivo Cali 0-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.42/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.01
-15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.8 Crosses 13.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.02.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
18.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
01.05.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
21.11.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
07.03.2021 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
0-1
AWAY Once Caldas
1.57 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
339 Passes 139
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas squeezed past Deportivo Cali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cali at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 65% of the ball to Once Caldas's 35%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.57 to 0.86 — on chances, Deportivo Cali could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Cali and 0.83 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas?

Deportivo Cali 0-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 42%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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