Ruch Chorzow 0-5 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.64
1/2
8%
21.25
1/X
5%
17.85
X/1
8%
12.1
X/2
12%
4.12
X/X EV+ ✗
18%
6.27
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.87
2/X
6%
15.75
Value flag · X/X at 6.27 — our 18% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.9pp
47%
Away Win
62%
-14.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 66%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.49/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.62
-51% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.54 xG 1.86
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
198 Passes 453
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
06.08.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-0 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.12.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow HAZ
02.12.2012 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-0 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.10.2011 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0-5
AWAY Legia Varşova
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova swept aside Ruch Chorzow 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 40% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 2.00 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Legia Varşova?

Ruch Chorzow 0-5 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 23%, draw 29%, Legia Varşova 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →