Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.2
1/2
7%
23.75
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
7%
10.15
X/2
16%
3.73
X/X
15%
5.07
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.06
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.51/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.79
+119% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
19.0 Crosses 26.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.25 xG 2.67
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
163 Passes 570
72% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-0 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.12.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow HAZ
02.12.2012 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-0 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.10.2011 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.84 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
234 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova squeezed past Ruch Chorzow 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 44% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 56%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.84 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 2.25 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Legia Varşova?

Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 21%, draw 27%, Legia Varşova 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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