İzmir Çoruhlu FK 0-1 Bursa Nilüfer FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzmir Çoruhlu FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.53/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Bursa Nilüfer FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Nilüfer FK nicked a narrow win over İzmir Çoruhlu FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bursa Nilüfer FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Bursa Nilüfer FK ?

İzmir Çoruhlu FK 0-1 Bursa Nilüfer FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Bursa Nilüfer FK ?

Before kick-off our model rated a İzmir Çoruhlu FK win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split İzmir Çoruhlu FK 33%, draw 33%, Bursa Nilüfer FK 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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