Sebat Gençlik SK 3-1 Kırıkkale FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
57%
-23.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.8pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırıkkale FK EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.58/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kırıkkale FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.10.2024 Kırıkkale FK Kırıkkale FK 2-0 Sebat Gençlik SK Sebat Gençlik SK S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
3-1
AWAY Kırıkkale FK
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sebat Gençlik SK vs Kırıkkale FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebat Gençlik SK got the better of Kırıkkale FK 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sebat Gençlik SK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sebat Gençlik SK had 61% of the ball to Kırıkkale FK's 39%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Sebat Gençlik SK vs Kırıkkale FK ?

Sebat Gençlik SK 3-1 Kırıkkale FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebat Gençlik SK vs Kırıkkale FK ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebat Gençlik SK win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sebat Gençlik SK 33%, draw 33%, Kırıkkale FK 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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