Al-Qadsiah vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals
Al-Qadsiah vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Raed
SUUD
2-2
HT 2-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
0-0
HT 0-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-0
Al Raed
SUUD
Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah edged past Al Raed 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 63% of the ball to Al Raed's 37%, shots finished 27-2, expected goals 2.22 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al-Qadsiah's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 0.67 for Al Raed.
What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Raed?
Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Raed?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 57%, draw 27%, Al Raed 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.