Al Raed 0-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
40%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
18%
+17.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
58%
-17.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 62%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.6 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
02.01.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 2-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
01.03.2019 Al Raed Al Raed 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
23.11.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
14.12.2017 Al Raed Al Raed 1-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
11.08.2017 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
0-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.08 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
276 Passes 403
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah nicked a narrow win over Al Raed 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al-Qadsiah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Raed had 41% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 59%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.08 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Raed and 1.33 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Raed 0-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 36%, draw 24%, Al-Qadsiah 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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