Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fateh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 1-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
4-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Fateh nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Fateh had 43% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 57%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.46 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Fateh and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 28%, draw 23%, Al Ahli Jeddah 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.