Al Fayha 1-4 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.03
2-3 Goals
38%
2.31
4-5 Goals
31%
2.39
6+ Goals
9%
4.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.3pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.2pp
62%
Away Win
81%
-18.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
0.61/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.83
-61% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +24%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 86%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
10.4 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.49 xG 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
267 Passes 590
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
21.02.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha AŞMP
14.02.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
28.10.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
1-4
AWAY Al Nassr
1.14 xG 2.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
341 Passes 476
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr cruised past Al Fayha 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Fayha had 44% of the ball to Al Nassr's 56%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.14 to 2.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Fayha and 2.17 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Nassr?

Al Fayha 1-4 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 17%, draw 21%, Al Nassr 62%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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