Al Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.29
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.75
2-3 Goals
39%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
10%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.7
X/1
12%
3.64
X/2
11%
20.75
X/X
12%
9.43
2/1
6%
20.0
2/2
6%
14.2
2/X
9%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
73%
-21.0pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.41/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.55
-4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.2 Crosses 11.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.45 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
519 Passes 277
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
28.10.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
17.03.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
30.10.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-0
AWAY Al Fayha
1.31 xG 0.04
72% Ball Possession 28%
7 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
659 Passes 204
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 3
11 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Fayha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nassr had 72% of the ball to Al Fayha's 28%, shots finished 7-1, expected goals 1.31 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nassr and 0.33 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Fayha?

Al Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 52%, draw 25%, Al Fayha 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AŞMP More AFC Sampiyonlar League
21 Feb 2024
12:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Ulsan Hyundai Analysis →
14:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Bangkok United Analysis →
19:00 Al Ain vs Nasaf Qarshi Analysis →