Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
5.76
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
10%
6.04
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.76 — our 28% vs market 12.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
16%
3.81
X/2
7%
14.3
X/X
12%
7.57
2/1
8%
19.6
2/2
9%
9.9
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 18%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.97/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.80
+40% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -38%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
19.6 Crosses 7.0
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bangkok United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3.20 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
401 Passes 300
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2024 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-0
AWAY Bangkok United
3.26 xG 0.39
68% Ball Possession 32%
36 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
21 Corners 3
695 Passes 260
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
58 Box Touches 11
75 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Bangkok United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 68% of the ball to Bangkok United's 32%, shots finished 36-13, expected goals 3.26 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yokohama F. Marinos's control.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Bangkok United?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Bangkok United in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 54%, draw 24%, Bangkok United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ BTTS No
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