Bangkok United 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 30% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.17
1/2
7%
21.6
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
6%
7.75
X/2
12%
4.59
X/X
17%
5.4
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
24%
2.49
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.3pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 53%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
0.63/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.56
+142% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
10.0 Crosses 25.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
2-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.89 xG 3.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
300 Passes 401
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United and Yokohama F. Marinos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bangkok United had 46% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 54%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.89 to 3.20.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Bangkok United 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 29%, draw 28%, Yokohama F. Marinos 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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