Nasaf Qarshi 0-0 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
13%
19.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.04 — our 22% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.56
1/2
10%
33.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.2
X/2
9%
5.79
X/X
19%
4.01
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.14
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasaf Qarshi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.74/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.37
+53% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +113%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.4 Crosses 8.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasaf Qarshi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ain
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
288 Passes 338
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
03.05.2016 Al Ain Al Ain 2-0 HT 1-0 Nasaf Qarshi Nasaf Qarshi AŞMP
19.04.2016 Nasaf Qarshi Nasaf Qarshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasaf Qarshi
0-0
AWAY Al Ain
0.21 xG 0.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
240 Passes 423
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasaf Qarshi and Al Ain fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nasaf Qarshi had 41% of the ball to Al Ain's 59%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.21 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ain led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nasaf Qarshi and 1.50 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Ain?

Nasaf Qarshi 0-0 Al Ain in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasaf Qarshi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nasaf Qarshi 38%, draw 31%, Al Ain 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nasaf Qarshi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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