Al Fayha 0-1 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
62%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.32
2-3 Goals
35%
2.21
4-5 Goals
29%
2.4
6+ Goals
16%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
14.55
1/2
5%
19.25
1/X
7%
22.45
X/1
6%
21.6
X/2
16%
3.62
X/X
7%
10.1
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
42%
1.4
2/X
4%
23.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
63%
Away Win
75%
-12.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 487
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
17.03.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
30.10.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
29.08.2020 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
0-1
AWAY Al Nassr
0.04 xG 1.35
23% Ball Possession 77%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
143 Passes 658
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 25
4 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr squeezed past Al Fayha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fayha had 23% of the ball to Al Nassr's 77%, shots finished 2-14, expected goals 0.04 to 1.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Fayha and 1.83 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Nassr?

Al Fayha 0-1 Al Nassr in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 20%, draw 18%, Al Nassr 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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