Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 31% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.0
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.05
X/2
13%
5.21
X/X
16%
5.02
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.25
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.95/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.27
+150% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.0 Crosses 18.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.65 xG 2.16
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
280 Passes 611
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.02.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 2-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.65 xG 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
27 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
266 Passes 635
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai nicked a narrow win over Ventforet Kofu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 34% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 66%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 1.65 to 2.00.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 36%, draw 29%, Ulsan Hyundai 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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