Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.3
X/1
17%
3.92
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
6%
6.3
2/1
7%
20.0
2/2
12%
7.46
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · 1/X at 15.3 — our 11% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
2.16 xG 0.65
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
611 Passes 280
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai cruised past Ventforet Kofu 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 66% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 34%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.16 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Ventforet Kofu?

Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 Ventforet Kofu in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 49%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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