Al Nassr 3-1 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.39
2-3 Goals
36%
2.24
4-5 Goals
29%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
2.12/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.66
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
23.5 Crosses 11.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.36 xG 0.52
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
557 Passes 256
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha AŞMP
14.02.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
28.10.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
17.03.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-1
AWAY Al Fayha
3.56 xG 0.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
28 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
638 Passes 342
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
74 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr got the better of Al Fayha 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 64% of the ball to Al Fayha's 36%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 3.56 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Nassr and 0.17 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Fayha?

Al Nassr 3-1 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 61%, draw 20%, Al Fayha 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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