Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
1.43/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.94
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 3-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
27.01.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-B
10.09.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
27.08.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
23.10.2021 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-3 HT 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2-1
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor edged past Bucaspor 1928 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 43% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 57%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.20 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 42%, draw 31%, Bucaspor 1928 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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