Nazilli Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nazilli Belediyespor v Erbaaspor — Team-Based Signals
Nazilli Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Erbaaspor
S3-1
Erbaaspor squeezed past Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nazilli Belediyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 1.00 for Erbaaspor.
What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor?
Nazilli Belediyespor 1-2 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 28%, draw 25%, Erbaaspor 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.