VfB Stuttgart U19 1-2 Barcelona U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
10%
5.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.4
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
4%
7.38
X/2
14%
5.5
X/X
8%
6.41
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
22%
2.78
2/X
10%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.4 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
323 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19
1-2
AWAY Barcelona U19
1.81 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
329 Passes 431
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Barcelona U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona U19 nicked a narrow win over VfB Stuttgart U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona U19 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, VfB Stuttgart U19 had 44% of the ball to Barcelona U19's 56%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.81 to 1.13 — on chances, VfB Stuttgart U19 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Barcelona U19?

VfB Stuttgart U19 1-2 Barcelona U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VfB Stuttgart U19 30%, draw 23%, Barcelona U19 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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