Roskilde 2-3 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 2 Apr 2026

📅02/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
2.19/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.91
+39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Naestved
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
05.04.2021 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
29.09.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
16.07.2020 Naestved Naestved 0-2 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
27.10.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 4-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
08.09.2019 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
2-3
AWAY Naestved
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved squeezed past Roskilde 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Roskilde had 39% of the ball to Naestved's 61%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roskilde and 0.83 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Naestved?

Roskilde 2-3 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 43%, draw 28%, Naestved 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roskilde), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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