Holbaek 1-5 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 2 Apr 2026

Holbaek
1-5 HT 0-4
Nykobing
📅02/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Holbaek vs Nykobing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+7.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
46%
-8.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
54%
+8.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holbaek v Nykobing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.32/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.22
+59% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Holbaek vs Nykobing Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Nykobing
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Nykobing Nykobing 1-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
07.08.2019 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAK
31.08.2014 Nykobing Nykobing 4-1 HT 3-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing cruised past Holbaek 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nykobing as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nykobing led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Holbaek and 2.33 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Nykobing?

Holbaek 1-5 Nykobing in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nykobing win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 35%, draw 20%, Nykobing 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nykobing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nykobing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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