Nykobing 1-0 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Holbaek
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
07.08.2019 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAK
31.08.2014 Nykobing Nykobing 4-1 HT 3-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing nicked a narrow win over Holbaek 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nykobing as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nykobing and 1.00 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Holbaek?

Nykobing 1-0 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nykobing win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 47%, draw 23%, Holbaek 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nykobing), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nykobing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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