Naesby 4-1 Vejgaard BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.92/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.52
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vejgaard BK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 0-4 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
02.09.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-1 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
26.10.2019 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 0-2 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
4-1
AWAY Vejgaard BK
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Vejgaard BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby cruised past Vejgaard BK 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Naesby had 57% of the ball to Vejgaard BK's 43%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Naesby and 0.67 for Vejgaard BK.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Vejgaard BK?

Naesby 4-1 Vejgaard BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Vejgaard BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naesby 48%, draw 23%, Vejgaard BK 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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