Hebar 1918 0-5 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
61%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
61%
Away Win
74%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 79%
+82% / +82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.54/0.46
+146% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +71%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
195 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BULK
20.04.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-3 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
29.10.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
18.03.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-5
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Hebar 1918 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 53% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 47%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hebar 1918 and 3.25 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Hebar 1918 0-5 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - Cup on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 18%, draw 20%, Ludogorets Razgrad 61%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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