Hebar 1918 0-3 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
65%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
65%
Away Win
77%
-12.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 81%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.39/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.55
-46% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
248 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
18.03.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-3
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Hebar 1918 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 50% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 50%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebar 1918 and 3.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Hebar 1918 0-3 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 15%, draw 20%, Ludogorets Razgrad 65%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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